GVR: Taiwan Unification-Independence Opinion Survey

2017/3/28 10:0

Global Views Research Center:
Taiwan Unification-Independence Opinion Survey

Taiwanese pro-independence sentiment dropped to a 10-year low with only 23.4%, closing in the gap with those who prefer maintaining the status quo permanently.

      The latest Taiwan Unification-Independence Opinion Survey results in March 2017 showed that Taiwanese pro-independence sentiment has retreated to 23.4%, the lowest in the past 10 years. It dropped from the peak at 28.5% during the Sunflower Student Movement in early 2014.
       Meanwhile, the survey found that Taiwanese inclination toward “maintaining the status quo permanently” has increased to an all-time high, reaching 20.2%. This resulted in the smallest gap between “pro-independence” and “maintaining the status quo permanently” since 2008. The survey also pointed out that Taiwanese preference to “maintaining the status quo temporarily” has declined sharply in just 6 months from 40.5% in September 2016, to 34.1% in March 2017, while pro-unification remained stable over the past 10 years.
       Further diagnosis by combining temporarily and permanently upholding the status quo, about half of the Taiwanese in March 2017 (34.1% & 20.2%) now prefer maintaining the status quo, much more than that during the Sunflower Student Movement back in early 2014 (32.8% & 14.9%).

       In review of the 10-year trend, nearly 3 in 10 Taiwanese were pro-independence during the former Ma Ying-Jeou presidency whose KMT party promotes close ties with Beijing, but only about 2 in 10 are pro-independence under Tsai Ying-wen’s less-than-one-year presidency, whose party is pro-independence. The reverse trend is worth note-taking and further tracking.


      Global Views Research Center (GVR) has been tracking Taiwanese people’s current political stance and future aspiration on the unification-independence issue since 2006 on a semi-annual basis, considering that cross-straits relations are highly influential to the development and stability of Taiwan.

 Nearly half of the Taiwanese people lack confidence toward the President in maintaining peaceful cross-straits relations and protecting Taiwan’s interests.

       The March survey conducted by Global Views Research Center showed that nearly half (48.5%) of the Taiwanese people are not confident that President Tsai could concurrently maintain peaceful cross-straits relations and protect Taiwan’s interests.

        The survey further noticed that the level of confidence declined as age increased. Among those aged 20-29, those confident (46.1%) and not confident (46.9%) are nearly split in half. However, more than half in their 40s (51.3%) and 50s (57%) lack confidence toward the president in handling cross-straits relations.


       The latest Q3 survey was conducted by Global Views Research Center (GVR) in March 3-12, 2017. The survey collected 1,007 samples aged 20 or above via random-digit-dial sampling and computer-assisted telephone interviewing method. One can say with 95% confidence level that the margin of error is ±3.09%. Gender, living areas, ages, and educational level of the interviewees have undergone weighting procedure and test of the sample’s representativeness in the survey results.

  For further details, please visit GVR website at  http://www.gvsrc.com or contact:
                  Vice President, Shirley Yam, shirley.yam@cwgv.com.tw  /+886 2-2517-3688 ext. 635
                  Associate Director, CC Chen, zonpearl21@cwgv.com.tw  /+886 2-2517-3688 ext. 637